My article in today's Independent👇
Friday, 30 October 2020
Monday, 19 October 2020
Biggest ever budget did little to close the gaping chasm between rich and poor
Monday, 5 October 2020
Internal lockdowns are futile if we leave the back door of foreign travel wide open
My article in today's Irish Independent
When we cancelled our trip to the UK this summer, my
child took it on the chin. He pined for his British grandma, but travelling to
the country with the highest coronavirus death rate in the world at the time, would
have jeopardised the hard won gains of lockdown.
Like
most people, we heeded Dr Tony Holohan’s warning that the reintroduction of
foreign travel was a "major
threat," increasing the risk of a second-wave of Covid-19. With
the front door of domestic lockdown largely secured however, the back door of
foreign travel was left wide open. Tourism into
Dublin Port trebled from just 7,165 in May to 23,972 in August, unabated even
after a resurgence of new
infections was attributed to foreign travel from countries, including Britain.
Countries, such as New Zealand,
Taiwan and South Korea, that have pursued a zero-Covid
approach by closing their borders have opened up everything else, resuming
normal lives, mitigating damage to their economies and preventing avoidable
deaths. This is not only a legitimate, but necessary, biosecurity
response to protect citizens against a deadly disease.
As Tomas Pueyo
wrote in the New
York Times, countries that opened their arms to neighbours too soon
“got infected in the hug”.
For
months, Leo Varadkar warned that mandatory quarantine might be illegal,
despite the WHO’s guidance stating, “Quarantine
is included within the legal framework of the International Health Regulations
(2005)”. Having wasted two
vital months, Health Minister, Stephen Donnelly, admitted that mandatory
quarantine wasn’t illegal after all but declined to enforce it anyway. On 9
august, when 3 counties were placed in lockdown, Donnelly asked our elderly to
go back into quarantine essentially (some never left) promising that his
Department would prepare a plan
to restrict non-essential travel from countries with high rates of coronavirus. Almost
two months later, no plan has emerged. Our vulnerable remain in hiding.
On 2 July, Stephen Donnelly announced that new cases
from international travel had gone up from 2% to 17% in the previous week.
On 20 July it went up to 21%, yet ministers continue to claim that “only 2%” of
infections are related to foreign travel. The government dashboard shows a flat-line
trajectory, indicating that it hasn’t been updated since April. Given this dubious data is injudiciously invoked by the
aviation lobby as a proverbial “dead cat”, I asked the HSE for a breakdown on
how it was established? No explanation has been forthcoming.
Given resource stricken contact tracers
only go back two days, it’s highly likely that foreign travel goes undetected,
captured later under “community transmission”, which basically means “unknown”.
A statistician acquaintance argues that, since coronavirus was originally imported
from overseas in February, foreign travel actually accounts for 100% of cases
in Ireland.
NPHET has repeatedly warned that the
importation of cases from people travelling to Ireland from other countries
would cause a second wave. Dr Ronan Glynn advised that mandatory quarantine
should be put in place for all people travelling into Ireland from abroad —
regardless of whether the country is on the green list. If that’s “unworkable”,
he said, Ireland should introduce a ban on all non-essential travel to countries
where the virus is highly prevalent, such as the US.
Coronavirus, unlike fawning governments, cannot be bullied, bribed or blackmailed into submission. As long as borders remain open, the rest of society faces a relentless, excruciating, futile cycle of persecutory lockdowns only to “open” again - at 50% capacity. All the while looking over our shoulder as the virus circulates within our communities like a silent assassin.
Last week, I sat with my sobbing son watching his
beloved grandma’s funeral streamed from the UK and I felt his agonising loss
and his sacrifice, made all the harder for knowing that it was squandered.